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Predicting NFL Results – Tips & Strategies

If you’re someone who likes to bet on the odd NFL game here and there, then you’ll know that predicting the outcomes can be considered both an art and a science. Obviously, it’s the unpredictability of sports that adds that element of excitement – watching, biting our nails and sitting on the edge of our seats as we try to predict who will come out on top is all part of the fun. However, avid fans and sports bettors who have money riding on the outcome are often eager to find ways to make informed predictions – and hopefully have a better chance of winning.

Whilst there’s a time and a place for sheer luck in the gambling world – claiming casino offers from and spinning the reels of the latest slots, for example, the beauty of NFL betting is that if you know what you are doing, you can give yourself a better chance of winning.

Here, we’ll look at some of the more effective strategies and tips for predicting NFL results.

1. Check Out the Team Statistics

Your first step should be an in-depth analysis of team statistics. Look at factors such as their offensive and defensive rankings, yards gained or allowed, points scored, turnovers, etc. It’s important that you pay particular attention to more recent performance trends – both home and away, so that you can spot the teams’ strengths and weaknesses and try to assess how you think the match will go.

2. Look at Individual Player Performance

You should also look at the recent performances of the major players – especially quarterbacks, running backs, and star defensive players. Injuries, suspensions, or any other notable changes in player dynamics can have a huge impact on how the team ends up performing on the day. Make sure you stay updated on player news.

3. Consider Previous Head-to-Head Matchups

Examine the history of any previous head-to-head matchups between the teams. It may be that certain teams seem to have a historical advantage over others because of their playing styles, strategies, or individual player matchups. Some teams, no matter how well they are doing, simply struggle against one specific team.  Looking at the match in context can provide valuable insight into possible outcomes.

4. Factor in Home Advantage

You should never underestimate the importance of home advantage. Teams often perform a lot differently at home compared to when playing away. Look to see which teams have strong home records and those teams that struggle on the road, as this can have a big influence on the final result.

5. Read the Weather Report

Weather conditions can play a huge role in how a football game plays out. Look at factors such as wind speed, possibility of rain, temperature etc. Some teams perform better in tough weather conditions, while others struggle. Weather forecasts help you predict how a team will adapt to the playing conditions.

6. Read Up on Coaching Strategies

Coaching styles and strategies can have a big impact on game outcomes. Read up on the coaching philosophies and strategies of both the head coaches and coordinators of each team. Consider how they react in situations such as fourth downs, two-minute drills and red-zone plays. A coach’s decision-making can make or break the result.

7. Assess Team Motivations

Understand the motivation behind each team. There are those teams who have playoff aspirations – and those in contention for a division title and they generally have more motivation than teams that don’t have much to play for. Generally, teams that don’t have anything to aim for can often underperform.

8. Monitor Public Betting Trends and Patterns

While this may not be a direct predictor, if you take the time to monitor public betting trends, it can offer some insights. A sudden shift in betting patterns could potentially indicate new information, injury news, or another factor that would influence the way the public is betting. However, use this information carefully – and don’t rely on it to help you make your decision.

9. Be Aware of Trap Games

In the NFL, certain games may look as though they are pretty obvious but end up being completely unpredictable – “trap games.” Teams might underestimate a weaker opponent – which could lead to unexpected results.

10. Use Advanced Analytics

Technology makes predicting games quicker and more efficient. That’s why you should embrace the power of advanced analytics and statistical models. Using metrics such as Football Outsiders’ DVOA (Defence-adjusted Value Over Average) and advanced player statistics can give you a much deeper understanding of team and player performance.

11. Trust Your Instincts

Finally, trust your instincts. Of course, data and analysis are essential. Research is a must and you shouldn’t blithely overlook actual factual data. However, sometimes, gut feelings based on your knowledge of the game can guide you in your predictions. It’s a great idea to balance your research and statistical insights with your own understanding and knowledge of the sport.


Trying to predict NFL results is not easy – and there’s no way to guarantee success. However, to give yourself the best chance of success, you need to combine a combination of statistical analysis, historical context, and an understanding of all the different factors that could influence the game. And combine them with your knowledge and gut instincts.

Hopefully, by incorporating these strategies and tips into your NFL betting, you’ll be able to make more informed predictions and better navigate the exciting and unpredictable world of the NFL.

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